Turkey real estate price forecast in 2023

The situation with prices on the Turkish real estate market is being actively discussed by industry experts and investors, causing, on the one hand, some concern, and on the other — optimism. The fact is that over the past year, under the influence of geopolitical and economic factors, the rise in prices for Turkish real estate exceeded all the wildest forecasts and expectations.

Several waves of migration and an increase in the number of people wishing to move to a prosperous country, obtain a residence permit and Turkish citizenship for real estate have contributed to the emergence of a significant shortage of properties on the market. Which, as a result, led to a record increase in the cost of renting and purchasing housing. According to experts, this trend will continue this year. Some buyers believe that market stagnation is possible.

In our expert publication, we will consider a number of topics of concern to investors, including: analysis and official sales statistics, the current situation and forecast for real estate prices in Turkey in 2023.

Content of the article:

Analysis of the Turkish real estate market over previous years

Statistical analysis of the Turkish real estate market, according to information from TUIK showed that the number of sales in 2022 decreased by 0.4% when compared with 2021.

According to the results of the last annual period, a total of 458,622,000 residential real estate properties were purchased in the country. The largest number of transactions were recorded in the metropolis of Istanbul — 259,654 (17.5% of all apartments sold). It is followed by the capital Ankara — 126,166 transactions (8.5%) and Izmir — 83,502 sales (5.6%).

Comparative sales data 2013–2022 are shown in the graph:

Turkey real estate price forecast in 2023

Note that citizens from abroad concluded 67,490 purchase and sale transactions in 2022, which shows an increase of 15.2% compared to 2021. Of the total number of sales, the share of housing purchased by foreigners was 4.5% .

The most popular Turkish cities in which the most houses and apartments were sold to foreign investors were:

  • Istanbul — 24,953;
  • Antalya Province — 21,860;
  • Mersin — 4 316.

Russians lead the list of the most active buyers of Turkish apartments — 16,312 transactions. They are followed by Iraqis (8,233 transactions) and Iranians (6,241 transactions).

Statistical comparative report on real estate sales to foreigners for 2013–2022:

Turkey real estate price forecast in 2023

As for the latest data for 2023, according to the Turkish Statistics Institute, in January 2023 alone, local citizens and foreigners bought 97,708 houses. Sales growth was 10.6% compared to January last year. The same trend remains in the popularity of Turkish cities. Investors choose Istanbul, Ankara and Antalya province to invest their savings.

House sales statistics in Turkey in January 2023:

Turkey real estate price forecast in 2023

Foreigners purchased 4,161 houses in January (4.3% of the total number of real estate transactions), which indicates a decrease in sales by 0.6% compared to the same period last year. Investors from abroad are most interested in apartments in Antalya (592 objects), Istanbul (380), Mersin (331). Main buyers — citizens of the Russian Federation, Iran, Iraq, Ukraine.

Comparative data on sales of real estate to foreigners in January 2023:

Turkey real estate price forecast in 2023

Changes in the Turkish real estate market

What prospects await the Turkish housing market in the near future? To understand this, it is important to navigate the changes that have already influenced it.

And, first of all, this concerns new laws adopted by the government of the country to manage and control foreign investments. Investors about these innovations must find out before purchasing Turkish real estate in order to manage your capital as profitably as possible.

Against the backdrop of an unprecedented increase in migration flows, the authorities were forced to react in order to maintain control over the current situation. In connection with this, the following changes took place in 2022:

  • Increasing threshold prices for real estate for those who wish to take advantage of the state investment citizenship program. The new minimum cost was $400,000. In addition, the purchase of one property now allows only one investor to apply for a second passport. Previously, the law allowed equity participation if the cost allowed.
  • Some areas in popular Turkish cities were closed for foreigners to obtain residence permits. Today there are almost 1,200 blocks in which the number of foreign citizens has reached 20% in relation to local residents.
    In order to obtain a residence permit based on the right to own real estate, it is now necessary to purchase apartments, the cadastral value of which is at least $200,000 in lire equivalent at the time of execution of the transaction (these changes came into force on October 16, 2023).
  • Will these changes negatively impact foreigner demand in the near future? Taking into account the simple and acceptable conditions of legalization and the complex geopolitical situation, most likely, Russians and other foreign citizens in 2023 will still actively purchase square meters in the Republic of Turkey.
Examples of real estate in Turkey

New 1+1 apartment of 50 m², located in Mahmutlar, built in 2024. Distance to the sea - 950 m, to the center - 500 m.

room

1+1

area

50 m²

id

9492

71 500

Modern 1+1 apartment of 60 m² in a new multifunctional complex built in 2024, located on the 7th floor. Distance to the sea - 1000 m, to the center - 850 m.

room

1+1

area

60 m²

id

9491

71 500

Apartment 1+1 in a modern complex of 2023, located on the 4th floor, 1400 m from the sea and 600 m from the center, with partial sea view and fully furnished.

room

1+1

area

55 m²

id

9490

69 300

A luxurious apartment in a new building at a very reasonable price.

room

1+1

area

55 m²

id

9489

165 000

Two-bedroom apartment of 128 sq.m. with furniture and appliances

room

2+1, Duplex

area

128 m²

id

9488

162 500

Very cozy furnished apartment 2+1 with a glazed balcony, located only 350 m from the sea and 200 m from the center.

room

2+1

area

110 m²

id

9487

Modern 1+1 apartment with furniture, balcony and good infrastructure, just 650 meters from the sea and 200 meters from the center of the area.

room

1+1

area

55 m²

id

9486

115 500

Furnished 2+1 apartment with two bathrooms and balconies, 350 meters from the sea and only 200 meters from the center of the area.

room

2+1

area

135 m²

id

9485

Modern 1+1 apartment with balcony and bathroom, just 650 m from the sea and 200 m from the district center.

room

1+1

area

55 m²

id

9484

130 000

Stylish 2+1 apartment with good repair and two spacious balconies in a hotel-type complex, only 1800 m from the sea and 500 m from the center.

room

2+1

area

90 m²

id

9483

88 000

Bright sunny 2+1 apartment with designer renovation, two balconies and two bathrooms, 700 meters from the sea.

room

2+1

area

115 m²

id

9482

124 500

Spacious duplex 3+1 with beautiful mountain views, 800 meters from the sea and 350 meters from the center of Mahmutlar

room

3+1, Duplex, Penthouse

area

120 m²

id

9481

346 500

Spacious 4+1 apartment with two balconies and two bathrooms, 650 meters from the sea and 400 meters from the center in the prestigious Kestel area

room

4+1, Duplex

area

650 m²

id

9480

181 500

Furnished 3+1 villa with sea view, two balconies and two bathrooms in one of the most prestigious residential complexes in the city.

room

3+1, Duplex, Penthouse

area

130 m²

id

9479

154 000

Spacious 2+1 twin villa, 180 m², with two balconies and sea view, located in Demirtas. Year of construction - 2008. 150 meters from the sea and 750 meters from the center of the area.

room

2+1

area

180 m²

id

9478

55 000

Modern apartment 1+1, 50 m², located in the Demirtas area. Year of construction - 2024. Located on the 2nd floor, 500 meters from the sea and 800 meters from the center.

room

1+1

area

50 m²

id

9477

340 000

4+1 triplex villa, 220 m², with separate kitchen and rounded rooms, located in Avsallar. Year of construction - 2008. Villa on 3 floors with three balconies, which offer partial views of the sea and the surrounding area. To the sea - 600 m, to the center - 400 m.

room

4+1, Duplex, Penthouse

area

220 m²

id

9476

124 500

We offer a cozy apartment 2+1, 85 m², with a view of the Kale fortress, in the center of Alanya near Cleopatra Beach. Year of construction - 2008. It is located on the 5th floor, 250 meters from the sea and 100 meters from the center. There is a possibility of obtaining a residence permit.

room

2+1

area

85 m²

id

9475

126 500

Bright and spacious apartment 1+1, 70 m², with a well-thought-out layout, in the Cleopatra Beach area, Alanya. Year of construction - 2023. Located on the 1st floor, 700 meters from the sea and 200 meters from the center.

room

1+1

area

70 m²

id

9474

170 000

Bright furnished 2+1 apartment with two bathrooms and three balconies, just 350 meters from the sea and 200 meters from the center of Alanya.

room

2+1

area

150 m²

id

9473

See more

Of course, last year, record inflation, which amounted to 83%, had a significant impact on the Turkish real estate market. In order to preserve their capital, many Turks began to acquire real estate and were not disappointed. The thing is that with such inflationary processes, the annual increase in the cost of housing reached about 203% in Turkish lira. This means that investing in the purchase of property turned out to be very profitable even against the backdrop of elevated mortgage rates. Experts believe that if inflation continues at the same rate, then interest in acquiring Turkish assets will remain unchanged.

As for interest from foreign investors, the trend for purchasing housing in the Republic of Turkey is likely to also be relevant. There are several main reasons for this:

  • Despite some tightening of migration policy, the Turkish authorities offer some of the simplest and most acceptable conditions for foreigners to obtain residence permits and citizenship.
  • Based on the results of last year, to control migration, the rules for issuing tourist residence permits were tightened. Therefore, some foreigners will be forced to legalize their residence in Turkey through the purchase of apartments.
  • The housing market of the eastern republic offers profitable projects for both mid-level investors and wealthy investors who own large capital.
  • Some difficulties in purchasing property for Russians in European countries will also play a role.
  • In 2023, Turkey will celebrate the centenary of the republic and the completion of the Lausanne Agreement, the terms of which hampered the country's development.

One more factor can be added to the above: if the situation with gas supplies to EU countries is not resolved successfully, European buyers will most likely become more active in the Turkish real estate market. In 2022 alone, the number of German investors increased by 11.5%, British — by 12%. In addition, demand among the Chinese increased by 22%, which indicates good prospects for the development of the Turkish housing market.

Turkey real estate price forecast in 2023

Will real estate prices fall in Turkey?

Real estate in Turkey is becoming more expensive, and, according to industry experts, there are no prerequisites for a decrease in its value in 2023.

You should not expect a decline in prices for Turkish real estate for several objective reasons:

  1. The number of people wishing to become owners of Turkish apartments does not dry out, despite the traditional slight decrease in excitement in winter. Taking into account current trends and the worsening geopolitical situation, the number of people wishing to relocate to Turkey will go up. Some investors will seek to preserve their savings by purchasing property, others — find a safe place for a comfortable stay under relatively simple legalization conditions.
  2. According to TUIK, construction costs at the end of 2022 alone increased by 117%. The financial costs of Turkish developers, who import many building materials from abroad, are affected by logistics difficulties and rising energy prices on the world market.
  3. The rise in real estate prices in Turkey is associated with an imbalance between supply and demand. This is another factor that will contribute to the rise in prices of Turkish housing in 2023. Foreigners continue to actively buy apartments in new buildings and among the secondary housing, which leads to a shortage of supply and an automatic increase in the price tag.
  4. Over the past year, renting apartments in Turkey has become twice as expensive. It is quite natural that, against the backdrop of an increase in stable profits from rentals and general market trends, owners will increase the cost of selling their property.
  5. Some popular tourism centers and resort regions of the country are experiencing a slight shortage of investment-attractive land plots for the construction of residential complexes. It may take some time to develop new areas. Against this background, the remaining liquid land becomes more expensive, which affects the final cost of the apartments.
  6. In 2023, the government of the Republic of Turkey plans to commission several infrastructure and transport projects: new metro lines in Istanbul, the planned construction of a metro in Mersin, high-speed railway lines, highways, bridges, the Istanbul Canal and other strategically important facilities. The successful implementation of these projects will certainly affect the rise in real estate prices.

Is it worth buying property in Turkey now?

Investing in Turkish real estate is profitable and now you should not miss this chance. Primarily because 2023 will be marked by a further rise in prices. It is likely that the rise in prices will be more calm and methodical. Local and foreign investors have already adapted to difficult conditions, which means they will approach purchases carefully and consciously.

Why is it worth buying property in Turkey now? There are several main reasons:

  • An opportunity to exchange money profitably.
    The exchange rate of the national currency of Turkey has been falling for quite some time. This is a beneficial situation for investors from abroad who have savings in dollars and euros. You should not count on significant dividends, as the price tag for housing is growing rapidly. But the subsidence of the lira guarantees a certain benefit.
  • Investment ratio.
    Investment in the Turkish housing market — this is a guaranteed profit for foreign investors. Experts predict that in the new year the amount of investment in the purchase and construction of real estate will reach one billion dollars. In the medium and long term, investments will bring the expected results from resale or rental.
  • Modern design solutions and construction technologies.
    Developers offer a huge pool of proposals, including both budget options and premium segment apartments. In addition, the Turkish government continues to update old and build new urban infrastructure and roads. Therefore, each buyer will be able to choose an option that is suitable in terms of cost and characteristics.
  • Passive income from rentals.
    Foreign citizens have the opportunity to rent out their property for a long term or on a guaranteed rental basis in cooperation with a real estate or management company. < /li>
  • Simple legalization of residence.
    Owners of Turkish real estate can apply for a tourist residence permit or ikamet under TAPU. If the price tag for an apartment exceeds $400,000, a foreign investor has the opportunity to apply for a “golden” certificate. passport according to a simplified scheme.
  • Additional incentives from the Turkish authorities.
    The Turkish government, in addition to simply obtaining a residence permit and citizenship, offers additional bonuses to investors, such as discounts on taxes and duties.
  • Absolute right of ownership.
    After receiving a Turkish title, a foreigner becomes the full owner of real estate and has the right to transfer his property by inheritance or as a gift.
  • Reasonable cost.
    Compared to the cost of apartments and taxes in European countries or the USA, prices for Turkish real estate are much lower. High quality of construction and complete readiness of objects for living make apartments in Alanya, Antalya and Istanbul is truly attractive.
  • Comfortable living conditions.
    Turkey offers foreign citizens comfortable living conditions: wonderful climate, picturesque nature, inexpensive and high-quality food, favorable atmosphere and much more.

Regardless of the goals you set for yourself when deciding to buy real estate in Turkey, you cannot do without the help of an experienced real estate company. The housing market of the resort country has its own specifics and subtleties. The specialists of the Point Property real estate agency will help you invest your money wisely and guarantee the achievement of all investment goals.

Examples of real estate in Turkey

New 1+1 apartment of 50 m², located in Mahmutlar, built in 2024. Distance to the sea - 950 m, to the center - 500 m.

room

1+1

area

50 m²

id

9492

71 500

Modern 1+1 apartment of 60 m² in a new multifunctional complex built in 2024, located on the 7th floor. Distance to the sea - 1000 m, to the center - 850 m.

room

1+1

area

60 m²

id

9491

71 500

Apartment 1+1 in a modern complex of 2023, located on the 4th floor, 1400 m from the sea and 600 m from the center, with partial sea view and fully furnished.

room

1+1

area

55 m²

id

9490

69 300

A luxurious apartment in a new building at a very reasonable price.

room

1+1

area

55 m²

id

9489

165 000

Two-bedroom apartment of 128 sq.m. with furniture and appliances

room

2+1, Duplex

area

128 m²

id

9488

162 500

Very cozy furnished apartment 2+1 with a glazed balcony, located only 350 m from the sea and 200 m from the center.

room

2+1

area

110 m²

id

9487

Modern 1+1 apartment with furniture, balcony and good infrastructure, just 650 meters from the sea and 200 meters from the center of the area.

room

1+1

area

55 m²

id

9486

115 500

Furnished 2+1 apartment with two bathrooms and balconies, 350 meters from the sea and only 200 meters from the center of the area.

room

2+1

area

135 m²

id

9485

Modern 1+1 apartment with balcony and bathroom, just 650 m from the sea and 200 m from the district center.

room

1+1

area

55 m²

id

9484

130 000

Stylish 2+1 apartment with good repair and two spacious balconies in a hotel-type complex, only 1800 m from the sea and 500 m from the center.

room

2+1

area

90 m²

id

9483

88 000

Bright sunny 2+1 apartment with designer renovation, two balconies and two bathrooms, 700 meters from the sea.

room

2+1

area

115 m²

id

9482

124 500

Spacious duplex 3+1 with beautiful mountain views, 800 meters from the sea and 350 meters from the center of Mahmutlar

room

3+1, Duplex, Penthouse

area

120 m²

id

9481

346 500

Spacious 4+1 apartment with two balconies and two bathrooms, 650 meters from the sea and 400 meters from the center in the prestigious Kestel area

room

4+1, Duplex

area

650 m²

id

9480

181 500

Furnished 3+1 villa with sea view, two balconies and two bathrooms in one of the most prestigious residential complexes in the city.

room

3+1, Duplex, Penthouse

area

130 m²

id

9479

154 000

Spacious 2+1 twin villa, 180 m², with two balconies and sea view, located in Demirtas. Year of construction - 2008. 150 meters from the sea and 750 meters from the center of the area.

room

2+1

area

180 m²

id

9478

55 000

Modern apartment 1+1, 50 m², located in the Demirtas area. Year of construction - 2024. Located on the 2nd floor, 500 meters from the sea and 800 meters from the center.

room

1+1

area

50 m²

id

9477

340 000

4+1 triplex villa, 220 m², with separate kitchen and rounded rooms, located in Avsallar. Year of construction - 2008. Villa on 3 floors with three balconies, which offer partial views of the sea and the surrounding area. To the sea - 600 m, to the center - 400 m.

room

4+1, Duplex, Penthouse

area

220 m²

id

9476

124 500

We offer a cozy apartment 2+1, 85 m², with a view of the Kale fortress, in the center of Alanya near Cleopatra Beach. Year of construction - 2008. It is located on the 5th floor, 250 meters from the sea and 100 meters from the center. There is a possibility of obtaining a residence permit.

room

2+1

area

85 m²

id

9475

126 500

Bright and spacious apartment 1+1, 70 m², with a well-thought-out layout, in the Cleopatra Beach area, Alanya. Year of construction - 2023. Located on the 1st floor, 700 meters from the sea and 200 meters from the center.

room

1+1

area

70 m²

id

9474

170 000

Bright furnished 2+1 apartment with two bathrooms and three balconies, just 350 meters from the sea and 200 meters from the center of Alanya.

room

2+1

area

150 m²

id

9473

See more

These materials have been prepared for informational purposes and are not of a commercial nature.

Point Property — is a certified real estate agency that specializes in providing a full range of real estate services for residential and commercial real estate transactions in Turkey. Our company takes care of all the organizational aspects of a real estate transaction: searching for an object, organizing a sightseeing tour, assistance in collecting documents and checking the legal purity of documentation, support in re-registration of ownership. In addition, we provide our customers with a wide range of after-sales services.

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